База Барклайс за которой я время от времени поглядываю говорит о том, что хеджфонды потихоньку отбивают потери:
FAIRFIELD, Iowa, January 14, 2010– Hedge funds rebounded from 2008 losses with a 24.14% gain in 2009 according to the Barclay Hedge Fund Index compiled by BarclayHedge.
“Based on our calculations, close to 55 percent of single manager hedge funds now have a profit for the time period from June 1, 2008 to December 31, 2009,” says Sol Waksman, founder and president of BarclayHedge. “Of those funds that are still in negative territory, the average loss is currently at 17 percent.”
The Barclay Convertible Arbitrage Index led the way up in 2009 with a 53.83% gain, more than making up for its 27.66% loss in 2008. The Emerging Markets Index was up 44.40% at year end, after losing 39.47% in 2008.
“Banks in emerging markets such as China, India and Brazil did not have large exposures to subprime mortgages, and therefore were able to avoid the massive write-downs forced on US and European banks,” says Waksman.
The Distressed Securities Index gained 32.78% in 2009 after falling 31.70% in 2008.
The Equity Short Bias Index was the only losing hedge fund strategy in 2009, falling 19.17% for the year.
“But let’s not forget that these same managers posted a record 40.91 percent gain in 2008.”
The 2009 performance data for all 18 Barclay Hedge Fund Indices is available now at www.barclayhedge.com.
In December, 16 of Barclay’s 18 hedge fund indices had a positive return. The Barclay Distressed Securities Index jumped 4.57%, Technology was up 3.74%, Healthcare & Biotechnology gained 3.17%, Equity Long Bias was up 3.41%, and Emerging Markets gained 3.35%.
On the losing side, the Barclay Equity Short Bias Index fell 4.78% in December, and Global Macro was down 0.82%.
The Barclay Fund of Funds Index gained 0.71% in December, and is up 10.18% for the year.
http://www.barclayhedge.com/research/press_releases/PR_Jan_14_2010.html
И наращивают приток новых средств:
New York, NY – January 12, 2010 – TrimTabs Investment Research and BarclayHedge reported that all hedge funds posted an estimated inflow of $18.7 billion in November, more than double the inflow of $8.2 billion in October. The inflow in November was the largest since May 2008.
“Flows into hedge funds are back to pre-crisis levels,” said Sol Waksman, CEO of BarclayHedge. “Nevertheless, the inflow of $54 billion in the latest four months reversed only a small portion of the redemptions of $402 billion from September 2008 through July 2009.”
http://www.barclayhedge.com/research/press_releases/PR_Jan_12_2010.html
Но не все изъятия еще покрыты. Так что потенциал притока еще есть. И возможно рынки не исчерпали масштабы роста (ну и фраза масштабы роста = русский 2!). Впрочем по оценкам Барклайс 2009 год стал самым худшим по числу созданных фондов. Так что видно в новые никто особо не вкладывался, просто потихоньку возвращали денежки в старые... и верно еще не все вернули.
среда, 20 января 2010 г.
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